Week 4 Picks

Lady Godiva fancies:

Oakland +4 over MIAMI
ATLANTA +3 over Houston
CLEVELAND +4 over Baltimore
DETROIT +3 over Chicago
Green Bay -1.5 over MINNESOTA
St. Louis +13 over DALLAS
NY Jets -3.5 over BUFFALO
CAROLINA -2.5 over Tampa Bay
SAN FRANCISCO +2 over Seattle
ARIZONA +6 over Pittsburgh
SAN DIEGO -11.5 over Kansas City
Denver +10 over INDIANAPOLIS
NY GIANTS +3 over Philadelphia
CINCINNATI +7 over New England

Summary: 2 HOME FAVOURITES, 7 HOME DOGS, 3 road dogs, 2 road faves

I feel good picking 10 of 14 underdogs and am hoping for 3-1 with my 4 favourites.

Boyfriend Archibald is gobsmacked by the backing for Mary Ann of Gilligan’s Island in his polls on 1960s TV stars. All his favourites – Ginger, Catwoman and Jeannie from I Dream of – have gone down to Mary Ann’s subtler charms. Scroll down to the very bottom of the screen and vote in his latest poll matching small screen against big screen -- Mary Ann vs. 1960s film goddesses.

Week 3 Results

All my picks 10 wins 4 losses 2 ties 69%
My home fave picks 4-2 67%
My road dog picks 5-1-1 79%
My road fave picks 1-1-1 50%
Spread a factor 3-0-2 80%
Lady G’s best bets 1-2 33%
Readers’ choice (Detroit over PHILADELPHIA) 0-1

For the season so far:

All my picks 26-17-5 59%
My home fave picks 7-6-2 53%
My home dog picks 4-1 80%
My road dog picks 11-7-2 60%
My road fave picks 4-3-1 56%
Spread a factor 7-2-5 68%
Lady G’s best bets 7-3-1 68%
Readers’ choice 1-1-1 50%

A readers’ choice finally went down to defeat – by more than four touchdowns.
Lady G’s loyal readers picked Detroit as a 6-point visiting underdog against Philadelphia as the best bet of last week.

I’m chuffed (Jolly Old England expression meaning “pleased”) to have recorded a 10-win week so early in the season. It’s nice to be safely on the plus side as insurance against the “five wins or fewer” weeks that all experienced NFL pickers must expect every now and then.

Another 5 games turned on points last week. I have picked almost as many favourites as underdogs so far this year, but have a 68% success rate in games where the spread was a factor. Lady Luck has truly been smiling on Lady Godiva so far in 2007.

Boyfriend Archibald is keeping his Catwoman vs. Mary Ann poll open for voting until Thursday if you scroll down to the bottom of the screen.

Week 3 Picks

This week Lady Godiva fancies:

Indianapolis -6 over HOUSTON
San Diego -4.5 over GREEN BAY
KANSAS CITY -2.5 over Minnesota
Detroit +6 over PHILADELPHIA
NEW ENGLAND -16.5 over Buffalo
Miami +3 over NY JETS
PITTSBURGH -9 over San Francisco
Arizona +8 over BALTIMORE
TAMPA BAY -3.5 over St. Louis
DENVER -3 over Jacksonville
Cincinnati +3.5 over SEATTLE
Cleveland +3 over OAKLAND
Carolina -4 over ATLANTA
WASHINGTON -4 over NY Giants
Dallas +3 over CHICAGO
Tennessee +4 over NEW ORLEANS

Summary: 6 HOME FAVOURITES, 7 road dogs, 3 road faves

I’m wary of picking 3 road favourites when history shows home dogs to have been the pool picker's best friend. But, I see value in all 3 road faves.

Check out boyfriend Archibald's latest poll on 1960s TV starlets at the bottom of the screen. The readers selected Mary Ann from Gilligan's Island as our favourite 1960s TV sweetheart and Catwoman as our favourite 1960s vixen. Now Archibald has set up a classic battle -- sweetheart vs. vixen. Mary Ann or Catwoman -- who gets your love?

Week 1 Results

All my picks 8 wins 6 losses 2 ties 56%
My home fave picks 3-1-1 70%
My home dog picks 2-1 67%
My road dog picks 2-4-1 36%
My road fave picks 1-0 100%
Spread a factor 1-0-2 75%
Lady G’s best bets 4-0 100%
Readers’ choice (NE over NYJ) 1-0 100%

A rare week when favourites ruled at 9-5-2.

Good start to the year for Lady G. I would take 17 straight weeks like this. The reality is that over a long season I will probably see about 9 more “average” weeks like this with between 6 and 9 wins. Any NFL picker should count on at least 3 disappointing weeks with 5 wins or less. If I stick to my system, I’m hoping for 4 really good weeks with 10+ wins to carry me through to a good record for the entire season.