To humour my Canadian toy boy and fiance Archibald, I participate in his non-profit CFL pool against the spread (ATS). My Grey Cup pick lost ATS for the 1st time in 5 years of picking.
Losing the Grey Cup left me at 36-38-3 for the season -- my first losing season in 5 years of picking. I finished 25-20-3 with road underdog picks, 6-12 home underdogs, 3-5 home overdogs and 2-1 road overdogs. I am still 54.5% over the past 5 years picking CFL winners ATS starting with 2009 -- not enough matches to be statistically significant, but nevertheless I am proud of my good fortune up until this year. Of course, it's the same record over 5 years as a simple all-underdogs strategy.
Arch pointed out that western teams were 20-14 straight-up against eastern teams in 2012 including losing the Grey Cup. This year in 2013 the west was even stronger at 21-12 against the east straight-up and 18-15 ATS. Arch was confident that the west would win the Grey Cup especially with SASKATCHEWAN hosting. Last year in 2012, Toronto won the Cup outright lifting the east to even-Stephen 17-17 ATS vs. the west in 2012. SASKATCHEWAN is now 4-15 in Grey Cup finals -- a losing record in championships rivalled only by the Brooklyn Dodgers 1-10 record in the World Series.
Tuesday, June 25, 2013
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