Monday, June 3, 2024

CFL Picks ATS 2024: Week 10

Sorry, I have been so caught up helping Arch with his substacking that I haven't had time to update my CFL picks. I will be back in action before the season ends.  

In week 10, I pick all underdogs against the spread (ATS) except calgary  -1.5 v. TORONTO. 

After 9 weeks, I am 20-15-1 = 8-2 home underdogs, 8-6-1 road underdogs, 3-3 home overdogs, and 1-4 road overdogs. 

I am 51% over 13 years picking Canadian Football League (CFL) winners against the spread (ATS) from 2009 on. (Recall that the  CFL cancelled their 2020 season, so there have been only 14 seasons from 2009 through 2023.) I have had 5 losing CFL years out of 14. I do not do well enough to make a profit betting CFL games with real money, but every now and then my picks should be good enough to win a small, just-for-fun CFL season-long pool. I trail behind a simple all-underdogs strategy at 52% from 2009-2023. 2023 was the first year since 2014 for CFL underdogs to record a losing year ATS. So far in 2024, underdogs are back on track at 23-12-1

Last year 2023 was my worst year ever by far and my 2nd consecutive losing year. 

Godiva toy boy and fiance-in-perpetuity Archibald points out that western teams are 254-168-2 straight-up against eastern teams from 2012 through 2024 and 215-204-5 ATS including Grey Cups and other playoff matches. In 2024, the east leads 12-7 straight-up and 10-9 ATS in inter-conference matches after winning both in 2023

I am starting to accept that the years of western dominance are over. Arch still backs the west.

The west has still won 6 of the last 10 Grey Cups and 11 of the past 17. I am proud, albeit insignificantly statistically proud, to be 10-4 ATS picking the past 14 Grey Cups. 

Arch is too busy with his new hobby of substacking to maintain his CFL ATS pool, so my picks are just for fun. 

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