CFL 2026: ATS picks week 18

I am picking all underdogs against the spread (ATS) this week EXCEPT bc -1.5 over TORONTO.

After 17 weeks, I am 32-34 ATS = 5-8 home underdogs, 8-8 home overdogs, 2-6 road overdogs and 15-12 road underdogs. 

Godiva toy boy  Archibald points out that western teams are now 312-205-4 or 60% straight-up against eastern teams from 2012 through 2026 including Grey Cups and other playoff games. In 2026 the west is 22-11 against the east straight-up and 15-18 ATS. Archibald predicted correctly that that the 4th place western team will cross over to the eastern playoffs with a better record than 3rd place Hammerville in the east.

The west was 27-15 straight-up last year in 2025 including Winterpeg's loss to MONTREAL in the eastern semi-final and Sasquatchewan's Grey Cup victory. SASquatchEWAN was 8-1 v. the east in 2025 and is 4-2 so far in 2026.

However, in 2024, east bested west 23-16-2 after winning in 2023 as well. 

The east won 3 straight Grey Cups from 2022 through 2024. But, the west has won 12 of the past 19 Grey Cups. I am proud, albeit insignificantly statistically proud, to be 11-5 ATS picking the past 16 Grey Cups, although I admit to losing the past 3 before winning 2025. 

I am 51% over 15 years picking Canadian Football League (CFL) winners ATS from 2009 on through 2026. (I do not do well enough to make a profit betting CFL games with real money, but every now and then my picks should be good enough to win a small, just-for-fun CFL season-long pool. I trail behind a simple all-underdogs strategy at 52% from 2009-2026. 2023 was the first year since 2014 for CFL underdogs to record a losing year ATS. 2023 was my worst year ever by far and my 2nd consecutive losing year. 

Arch is too busy with his new hobby to maintain his CFL ATS pool, so my picks are just for fun now. 

Apologies to loyal Godivans for not yet updating my 2024 records ATS. Chaos caused by doesn't-deserve-me Godiva toy boy and and fiance-in-perpetuity Archibald preventing me from keeping up during the regular season. And, I have been so caught up helping Godiva toy boy and permanent fiance Arch with his substacking that I still haven't had time to update my CFL picking record for 2025. 

CFL Picks 2024

I was wrong picking WINterpeg -10.5 over toronto against the spread (ATS) in Grey Cup CXI. 

The east has now won the past 3 Grey Cups after the west won 6 of the previous 8 and 11 of the previous 15. I am proud, albeit insignificantly statistically proud, to be 10-5 ATS picking the past 15 Grey Cups, although I admit to losing the past 3. 

Sorry, I have been so caught up helping Godiva toy boy and permanent fiance Arch with his substacking that I haven't had time to update my CFL picking record for the entire season.   

After 10 weeks, I was 22-17-1 = 8-2 home underdogs, 10-7-1 road underdogs, 3-3 home overdogs, and 1-5 road overdogs. In the play-offs, I finished 1-4 = 1-1 home overdogs and 0-2 road underdogs and 0-1 Grey Cup.

I am 51% over 15 years picking Canadian Football League (CFL) winners against the spread (ATS) from 2009 on. (Recall that the CFL cancelled their 2020 season, so there have been only 15 seasons from 2009 through 2024.) I have had 5 losing CFL years out of 15. I do not do well enough to make a profit betting CFL games with real money, but every now and then my picks should be good enough to win a small, just-for-fun CFL season-long pool. I trail behind a simple all-underdogs strategy at 52% from 2009-2023. 2023 was the first year since 2014 for CFL underdogs to record a losing year ATS. 

Last year 2023 was my worst year ever by far and my 2nd consecutive losing year. 

Godiva toy boy and fiance-in-perpetuity Archibald points out that western teams are 263-179-4 or almost 60% straight-up against eastern teams from 2012 through 2024. But, in 2024 east best west 22-16-2 after winning in 2023 as well. 

I am starting to accept that the years of western dominance are over. 

Arch is too busy with his new hobby to maintain his CFL ATS pool, so my picks this year were just for fun. 

CFL Picks ATS: 2018 Recap

In my Canadian toy boy and fiance-in-perpetuity Archibald's non-profit Canadian Football League (CFL) pool against the spread (ATS), I correctly picked Calgary -6.5 over Ottawa in the 2018 Grey Cup. I am 8-2 ATS picking the previous 10 Grey Cups. 
For the 2018 season, I finished 46-39-1 or 54% ATS: 11-9-1 with home overdogs, 10-5 home underdogs, 8-7 road overdogs and 17-18 road underdogs. 
I am 52.38% over 10 years picking CFL winners ATS starting in 2009 through 2018. I have had only 3 losing CFL year ATS out of 10. However, I am behind a simple all-underdogs strategy at 53.1% over 2009-2018. 
Arch points out that western teams were 177-99-2 straight-up against eastern teams from 2012 through 2018 and 148-126-4 ATS including Grey Cups and other playoff matches. The west has won 4 of the last 6 Grey Cups and 9 of the past 14. In 2018, the west was 29-13 against the east straight-up and 23-18-1 ATS.