Monday, June 1, 2026

CFL 2026: ATS picks week 12

I am picking all 4 western teams against the spread (ATS) this week.

After 12 weeks, I am 24-22 ATS = 3-6 home underdogs, 7-3 home overdogs, 1-5 road overdogs and 13-8 road underdogs. A simple all-underdog strategy is also 24-22.

Godiva toy boy  Archibald points out that western teams are now 304-203-4 or 59.9% straight-up against eastern teams from 2012 through 2026 including Grey Cups and other playoff games. In 2026 the west is 14-9 against the east straight-up and 11-12 ATS. Archibald predicts that that the 4th place western team will cross over to the eastern playoffs with a better record than 3rd in the east.

The west was 27-15 straight-up last year in 2025 including Winterpeg's loss to MONTREAL in the eastern semi-final and Sasquatchewan's Grey Cup victory. SASquatchEWAN was 8-1 v. the east in 2025 and is 3-2 so far in 2026.

However, in 2024, east bested west 23-16-2 after winning in 2023 as well

The east won 3 straight Grey Cups from 2022 through 2024. But, the west has won 12 of the past 19 Grey Cups. I am proud, albeit insignificantly statistically proud, to be 11-5 ATS picking the past 16 Grey Cups, although I admit to losing the past 3 before winning 2025. 

I am 51% over 15 years picking Canadian Football League (CFL) winners ATS from 2009 on through 2026. (I do not do well enough to make a profit betting CFL games with real money, but every now and then my picks should be good enough to win a small, just-for-fun CFL season-long pool. I trail behind a simple all-underdogs strategy at 52% from 2009-2026. 2023 was the first year since 2014 for CFL underdogs to record a losing year ATS2023 was my worst year ever by far and my 2nd consecutive losing year. 

Arch is too busy with his new hobby to maintain his CFL ATS pool, so my picks are just for fun now. 
Apologies to loyal Godivans for not yet updating my 2024 records ATS. Chaos caused by doesn't-deserve-me Godiva toy boy and and fiance-in-perpetuity Archibald preventing me from keeping up during the regular season. And, I have been so caught up helping Godiva toy boy and permanent fiance Arch with his substacking that I still haven't had time to update my CFL picking record for 2025. 

Friday, March 27, 2026

Major League Baseball (MLB) interleague: NL dominating

In the 2026 chapter of Major League Baseball's (MLB's) interleague rivalry, National League teams (NLare schooling American League (ALteams 325 wins to 282 (53.5%) even after including the AL's victory in the all-star match. In 2026, the NL is on track to record one of its best-ever interleague seasons.

The AL's collective mark in interleague regular season matches is -44. As a result, only 5 of 15 AL squads have winning interleague records so far this year -- BoSox, NY Yankees, TBay, Cleveland and Texas. And, only 4 of 15 AL sides have overall records above 50% -- the 3 AL East leaders + ChiSox. If the season ended right now, Houston and Texas would make the AL playoffs with losing overall records of -1.

Even the once-dominant AL East is having a ho-hum year even-stephen at 50.8% (99-96) in matches against NL squads -- down from 55.5% in 2025.

After 14 consecutive AL triumphs from 2004 through 2017, the NL won the inter-league contest for 5 of 7 seasons starting with 2018 through 2024. The AL got back on top in 2025. The AL owns a slight advantage with a 51% winning record over 30 years since interleague regular season play started in 1997. 

The "brain gap" between AL and NL team managements shrank over the years thanks to: 

  • the brain drain of smarty-pants and smarty-skirt executives who started with AL squads before crossing over to manage NL teams;
  • the effects of age on AL owners no longer content to hire the best baseball minds and stay out of the way -- e.g., sad decline of the Red Sox as John Henry ages into his dotage taking the BoSox down with him. Of course, just as I picked on the Red Sox as the poster boy for AL decline, the BoSox tied their franchise record with a 15-game winning streak and soon afterward put together a 9-game streak. 

The AL's remaining claim to superiority is winning 11 of the past 13 All-Star contests, 23 of the last 28 to reach a decision and 29 of the past 37. 

After decades of AL superiority in the World Series, the NL has won 5 of the last 7 with Los Dodgers winning 3 of the last 5. Over the last 2 decades from 2006-2025, the NL is ahead 12-8. From 1983 through 2005, the AL won 15 of 22 World Series championships.

None of this information is useful for betting purposes. Gambling odds are almost never fair for gamblers. For the vast majority, it's not possible to earn a long-term profit gambling. Online sports betting is the new House of the Rising Sun: "It's been the ruin of many a poor boy. And, God I know that my ex-toy boy is one."