Thursday, June 5, 2025

CFL Recap 2025 ATS

Against the spread (ATS), I was happy to pick correctly SK -3.5 over montreal in the 112th Grey Cup.

I was 2-3 in the playoffs: 1-1 road underdogs in the 1st round and 0-1 home underdog and 0-1 home overdog in the conference championships. Including regular season and playoff matches, I finished 47-37 in 2025 = 9-9 home underdogs + 21-14 road underdogs + 10-8 home overdogs + 7-6 road overdogs.

I picked SASquatchEWAN because Godiva toy boy  Archibald points out that western teams are now 290-194-4 or 59.8% straight-up against eastern teams from 2012 through 2025 including Grey Cups and other playoff games. The west was 27-15 straight-up this year and 26-16 ATS including Winterpeg's loss to MONTREAL in the eastern semi-final and the Grey Cup. SASquatchEWAN was 8-1 v. the east.

After 2024, I was starting to accept that the years of western dominance are over. In 2024, east bested west 23-16-2 after winning in 2023 as wellThe east won 3 straight Grey Cups from 2022 through 2024. But, the west has now won 12 of the past 19 Grey Cups. I am proud, albeit insignificantly statistically proud, to be 11-5 ATS picking the past 16 Grey Cups, although I admit to losing the past 3 before this year. 

I am 51% over 15 years picking Canadian Football League (CFL) winners ATS from 2009 on. (I do not do well enough to make a profit betting CFL games with real money, but every now and then my picks should be good enough to win a small, just-for-fun CFL season-long pool. I trail behind a simple all-underdogs strategy at 52% from 2009-2025. 2023 was the first year since 2014 for CFL underdogs to record a losing year ATS2023 was my worst year ever by far and my 2nd consecutive losing year. 

Arch is too busy with his new hobby to maintain his CFL ATS pool, so my picks are just for fun now. 
Sorry, loyal Godivans. I have been so caught up helping Godiva toy boy and permanent fiance Arch with his substacking that I still haven't had time to update my CFL picking record for the entire 2024 season.