Thursday, June 5, 2025

CFL Picks ATS: 2025 Week 11

Sorry, loyal Godivans. Same problem as last year in 2024. Chaos caused by doesn't-deserve-me Godiva toy boy Archibald preventing me from keeping up. Hope to catch up later this year. Archibald predicts that the 4th place western team will make the eastern playoffs with a better record that eastern 3rd team.

I am stuck with all western teams in week 11. 

I am 23-16 against the spread (ATS) in 2025 after 10 weeks = 2-4 home overdogs, 3-2 road overdogs, 6-6 home underdogs, 12-4 road underdogs. 

Godiva toy boy and fiance-in-perpetuity Archibald points out that western teams are now 274-186-4 or 59.5% straight-up against eastern teams from 2012 through 2025 including Grey Cups and other playoff games. 

After 2024, I was starting to accept that the years of western dominance are over. In 2024, east bested west 23-16-2 after winning in 2023 as wellThe east has won the past 3 Grey Cups after the west won 6 of the previous 8 and 11 of the previous 15. I am proud, albeit insignificantly statistically proud, to be 10-5 ATS picking the past 15 Grey Cups, although I admit to losing the past 3. 

I am glad that I stuck with a western tilt in 2025. The west is 11-7 straight-up and 12-6 ATS this year. 

I am 51% over 15 years picking Canadian Football League (CFL) winners ATS from 2009 on. (Recall that the  CFL cancelled their 2020 season, so there have been only 15 seasons from 2009 through 2024.) I have had 5 losing CFL years out of 15. I do not do well enough to make a profit betting CFL games with real money, but every now and then my picks should be good enough to win a small, just-for-fun CFL season-long pool. I trail behind a simple all-underdogs strategy at 52% from 2009-2024. 2023 was the first year since 2014 for CFL underdogs to record a losing year ATS2023 was my worst year ever by far and my 2nd consecutive losing year. 

Arch is too busy with his new hobby to maintain his CFL ATS pool, so my picks this year are just for fun. 

Sorry to say that I have been so caught up helping Godiva toy boy and permanent fiance Arch with his substacking that I still haven't had time to update my CFL picking record for the entire 2024 season. 

No comments: