I am picking all underdogs against the spread (ATS) this week EXCEPT bc -1.5 over TORONTO.
After 17 weeks, I am 32-34 ATS = 5-8 home underdogs, 8-8 home overdogs, 2-6 road overdogs and 15-12 road underdogs.
Godiva toy boy Archibald points out that western teams are now 312-205-4 or 60% straight-up against eastern teams from 2012 through 2026 including Grey Cups and other playoff games. In 2026 the west is 22-11 against the east straight-up and 15-18 ATS. Archibald predicted correctly that that the 4th place western team will cross over to the eastern playoffs with a better record than 3rd place Hammerville in the east.
The west was 27-15 straight-up last year in 2025 including Winterpeg's loss to MONTREAL in the eastern semi-final and Sasquatchewan's Grey Cup victory. SASquatchEWAN was 8-1 v. the east in 2025 and is 4-2 so far in 2026.
However, in 2024, east bested west 23-16-2 after winning in 2023 as well.
The east won 3 straight Grey Cups from 2022 through 2024. But, the west has won 12 of the past 19 Grey Cups. I am proud, albeit insignificantly statistically proud, to be 11-5 ATS picking the past 16 Grey Cups, although I admit to losing the past 3 before winning 2025.
I am 51% over 15 years picking Canadian Football League (CFL) winners ATS from 2009 on through 2026. (I do not do well enough to make a profit betting CFL games with real money, but every now and then my picks should be good enough to win a small, just-for-fun CFL season-long pool. I trail behind a simple all-underdogs strategy at 52% from 2009-2026. 2023 was the first year since 2014 for CFL underdogs to record a losing year ATS. 2023 was my worst year ever by far and my 2nd consecutive losing year.
