CFL 2022 Recap: Picks ATS

I was wrong picking against the spread (ATS) WINterPEG -5.5 over TORONTO. However, I am still proud, albeit insignificant statistically, to be 10-3 ATS picking the past 13 Grey Cups.   

For the 2022 season including playoffs, I finished 39-46-1 ATS: 23-13 with my road underdog picks, 3-16-1 home underdogs, 4-10 road overdogs and 9-7 home overdogs. 2022 was only my 4th losing CFL year ATS out of 13. Road teams ruled 2022 at 50-35-1 ATS. 

I am 52% over 13 years picking CFL winners ATS from 2009 on. (Recall that the Canadian Football League [CFL] cancelled their 2020 season, so there have been only 13 seasons from 2009 through 2022.) I have had only 4 losing CFL years out of 13. I do not do well enough to make a profit betting CFL games with real money, but every now and then my picks should be good enough to win a small, just-for-fun CFL season-long pool. However, I trail behind a simple all-underdogs strategy at 53% from 2009-2022. 2014 was the only year during this period when CFL underdogs had a losing year ATS.

Godiva toy boy and fiance-in-perpetuity Archibald points out that western teams are 234-137-2 straight-up against eastern teams from 2012 through 2022 and 193-176-4 ATS including Grey Cups and other playoff matches. In 2022, the west was 20-12 straight-up, but 14-18 ATS. The west has won 6 of the last 9 Grey Cups and 11 of the past 17.

Arch's buddy Taxi Steve brought to my attention the fact that Toronto has won its last 7 Grey Cup appearances, has not lost the CFL final since 1987 and boasts a 25-13 Grey Cup record (including all Toronto-based teams). 2022 was Winterpeg's 30th Grey Cup appearance; 12 victories and 18 losses.

Arch was too busy this year to maintain his CFL ATS pool, so my picks were just for fun, which was lucky for me. 

CFL Picks ATS: 2018 Recap

In my Canadian toy boy and fiance-in-perpetuity Archibald's non-profit Canadian Football League (CFL) pool against the spread (ATS), I correctly picked Calgary -6.5 over Ottawa in the 2018 Grey Cup. I am 8-2 ATS picking the previous 10 Grey Cups. 
For the 2018 season, I finished 46-39-1 or 54% ATS: 11-9-1 with home overdogs, 10-5 home underdogs, 8-7 road overdogs and 17-18 road underdogs. 
I am 52.38% over 10 years picking CFL winners ATS starting in 2009 through 2018. I have had only 3 losing CFL year ATS out of 10. However, I am behind a simple all-underdogs strategy at 53.1% over 2009-2018. 
Arch points out that western teams were 177-99-2 straight-up against eastern teams from 2012 through 2018 and 148-126-4 ATS including Grey Cups and other playoff matches. The west has won 4 of the last 6 Grey Cups and 9 of the past 14. In 2018, the west was 29-13 against the east straight-up and 23-18-1 ATS.