To humour my Canadian toy boy and fiance-in-perpetuity Archibald, I participate in his non-profit Canadian Football League (CFL) pool against the spread (ATS).
I finished 42-41-3 ATS: 22-16-1 road underdogs, 4-1-1 road overdogs, 7-14-1 home favourites and 9-10 home underdogs.
In the Grey Cup, I correctly picked OTTAWA +9 over calgary. Arch thought I was barmy to pick Ottawa ATS, but I have correctly picked 8 of the last 9 Grey Cup ATS winners. Underdogs have won 7 of the last 9 Grey Cups ATS.
I am 52.8% over 8 years picking CFL winners ATS starting in 2009 . Not enough matches to be statistically significantly better than 50% dart-throwing, but I am still proud of being above 50% over 8 years. However, before I start calling myself the CFL ATS Nostradamus, I have to admit that I finished below 50% in 2 of the last 4 years. Overall, I am behind a simple all-underdogs strategy at 53.7% over 2009-2016. All-underdogs finished 46-37-3 ATS in 2016. Road teams were 50-33-3 ATS.
Arch points out that western teams are 118-74-1 straight-up against eastern teams from 2012 through 2016 and 102-88-3 ATS including Grey Cups and other playoff matches. Despite Calgary's loss this year, the west has won 3 of the last 4 Grey Cups and 8 of the past 12. In 2016, the west was 28-13-2 ATS and 29-13-1 straight-up against the east.
Showing posts with label cfl 2016 picks against point spread ATS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label cfl 2016 picks against point spread ATS. Show all posts
Monday, June 20, 2016
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