NBA Final Game 1 Pick

BOSTON -2.5 over LA tickles Lady G's fancy.

My results so far against the spread:

All my picks 41 wins 37 losses 2 ties (52.5%)

My overdog picks 40-32-2
My underdog picks 1-5
Spread a factor: 1-9-2

A plain-vanilla, "homer rules" strategy leads the way at 46-32-2 (59%) followed closely by all-overdogs at 45-33-2 (57.5%).

NBA Playoff Picks May 14-15

Lady G fancies:

LA -9 over Utah
BOSTON -9 over Cleveland
SA -7 over NO

My results so far against the spread:

All my picks 35 wins 26 losses 1 tie
My overdog picks 34-21-1
My underdog picks 1-5
Spread a factor: 1-5-1

A plain-vanilla, "homer rules" strategy leads the way at 40-21-1 followed closely by all-overdogs at 39-22-1.

I'm prouder than a DD list actress who wins the Oscar to be ranked first in Crowd Score and against the spread (ATS) over the last 7 days at http://www.crowdpicks.com/

Stand by this weekend for my venture into baseball picking when inter-league games start. I would like to run a simple season-long experiment to see whether the odds correctly measure the American League dominance that we can expect will continue this season.

NBA Playoff Picks May 12-14

Lady G fancies:

CLEVELAND -2 over Boston
DETROIT -7 over Orlando
NO -3 over SA
LA -9 over Utah

My results so far against the spread:

All my picks 33 wins 25 losses 1 tie
My overdog picks 32-20-1
My underdog picks 1-5
Spread a factor: 1-4-1

A plain-vanilla, "homer rules" strategy leads the way at 38-20-1 followed closely by all-overdogs at 37-21-1.

I'm prouder than a starlet who wins the Oscar to be ranked first against the spread (ATS) over the last 7 days at http://www.crowdpicks.com/

Stay tuned for a full report when I have time on my weekend of canoodling at beautiful Niagara on the Lake.

NBA 2008 Playoffs May 9-11 Picks

Lady G fancies:

UTAH -4.5 over LA
ORLANDO -5 over Detroit
CLEVELAND -1 over Boston
SA -5.5 over NO

My results so far against the spread:

All my picks 29 wins 24 losses 1 tie
My overdog picks 28-19-1
My underdog picks 1-5
Spread a factor: 1-4-1

A plain-vanilla, "homer rules" strategy leads the way at 34-19-1 followed closely by all-overdogs at 33-20-1.

Given uncertainty about Billups, hard to believe that Magic only giving 5 to Pistons.

Toy boy Archibald is treating me to a well-deserved weekend of canoodling, so I won't be updating my site until Monday.

I'm puffing up my chest with pride today as the 2nd ranked picker against the spread (ATS) over the last 7 days at http://www.crowdpicks.com/.

NBA Playoffs May 5-7 Picks

Lady G fancies:

DETROIT -6 over Orlando
NEW ORLEANS -2.5 over San Antonio
Cleveland +10 over BOSTON
LA LAKERS -7 over Utah

My results so far against the spread:

All my picks 22 wins 24 losses 1 tie
My overdog picks 22-19-1
My underdog picks 0-5
Spread a factor: 0-4-1

A plain-vanilla, "homer rules" strategy decisively leads the way at 28-18-1.

It's interesting that my approach of picking "heavy" underdogs is performing so poorly so far, when historical data show that this has been a winning strategy. Sample size of 5 too small to draw any conclusions, but the record so far is consistent with NCAA March madness results this year. In the NFL, there is an unproven (to my knowledge) hypothesis that playoff patterns deviate from regular season patterns. I would be very interested if anyone out there has any historical data on NCAA and/or NBA playoff results against the point spread.