Green Lady G is sticking with Boston -4.5 over LA in game 6.
I’m very nervous. I would dread facing that dastardly Kobe in a game 7.
My results so far against the spread:
All my picks 46 wins 37 losses 2 ties (55%)
My overdog picks 42-32-2
My underdog picks 4-5
Spread a factor: 3-9-2
A plain-vanilla, "homer rules" strategy still leads the way at 48-35-2 (58%) followed closely by all-overdogs at 47-36-2 (56%).
Through Sunday, 15 June, we now have two series of inter-league baseball games in the books. American League (AL) teams have won 57% of all games or 47 or against only 36 victories for National League (NL) teams.
I hear knowledgable Godivans asking: ``What else is new?`` AL teams have dominated inter-league play for the past several years.
What is interesting is how well you would be doing with a strategy of backing all AL teams in a non-profit office pool with points based on odds posted for fools who bet on baseball. You would be +6.3 after 83 games. If the fools who bet on baseball were correctly valuing AL dominance, we should see our net point balance gravitate to 0 over the course of an entire season. If we can maintain a positive point balance, we will have circumstantial evidence that fools who bet on baseball are not correctly valuing AL dominance.
Groups A and B are over in Euro Cup 2008 soccer football. Toy boy Archibald correctly picked three of the four qualifiers for the ¼ finals – Portugal, Turkey and Germany. He underestimated Croatia and overrated Poland. Archibald’s not perfect (far from it), but so far, so pretty good (in both his Euro Cup 2008 pool and as Lady Godiva’s consort).
Showing posts with label euro cup soccer. Show all posts
Showing posts with label euro cup soccer. Show all posts
Monday, June 16, 2008
Friday, June 13, 2008
NBA Final Game 5 and Interleague MLB Advice
Happy Friday the 13th to one and all. My approach to warding off the bad luck gremlins today is to stay indoors until midnight. It’s 90 degrees (Fahrenheit, over 30 Celsius) in Toronto today and we don’t have AC, so I’m naked as a jaybird. Toy boy Archibald, who’s staying home to keep me company, calls me his BJ bird because I’m an English lass -- a bird in English lad lingo -- and the only thing I’m wearing is a Toronto Blue Jays cap.
The Green Lady G is sticking with Boston +6.5 over LA in game 5.
Strange game 4 -- I thought I was certain to lose even with +7.5 and the Celtics came back to win outright. LA scored more points in the 1st 1/4 than in the entire 2nd 1/2. You won't see that every day, especially not in the championship series.
My results so far against the spread:
All my picks 45 wins 37 losses 2 ties (55%)
My overdog picks 42-32-2
My underdog picks 3-5
Spread a factor: 2-9-2
A plain-vanilla, "homer rules" strategy leads the way at 48-34-2 (58%) followed closely by all-overdogs at 47-35-2 (57%).
If you’ve entered a friendly non-profit office pool picking major league baseball (MLB) winners over the course of the season, there’s no better strategy than backing all American League (AL) teams in inter-league contests. In weekend 1 of 2008 interleague play last month, AL teams won 22 of 41 games or 54% despite the fact that National League (NL) teams hosted 8 of 14 series. If your pool points are based on odds posted for those fools who bet on baseball, you would have been +2.2 after 41 games. Let’s stick with the all-AL approach for the rest of the season and see where we end up.
Toy boy Archibald finally tasted defeat with his Euro Cup 2008 soccer football picks. Croatia has qualified from Group B for the ¼ finals and only one of his picks – Germany or Poland – has a chance to qualify and there’s even a slim chance that both will be heading for home after the final group matches.
The Green Lady G is sticking with Boston +6.5 over LA in game 5.
Strange game 4 -- I thought I was certain to lose even with +7.5 and the Celtics came back to win outright. LA scored more points in the 1st 1/4 than in the entire 2nd 1/2. You won't see that every day, especially not in the championship series.
My results so far against the spread:
All my picks 45 wins 37 losses 2 ties (55%)
My overdog picks 42-32-2
My underdog picks 3-5
Spread a factor: 2-9-2
A plain-vanilla, "homer rules" strategy leads the way at 48-34-2 (58%) followed closely by all-overdogs at 47-35-2 (57%).
If you’ve entered a friendly non-profit office pool picking major league baseball (MLB) winners over the course of the season, there’s no better strategy than backing all American League (AL) teams in inter-league contests. In weekend 1 of 2008 interleague play last month, AL teams won 22 of 41 games or 54% despite the fact that National League (NL) teams hosted 8 of 14 series. If your pool points are based on odds posted for those fools who bet on baseball, you would have been +2.2 after 41 games. Let’s stick with the all-AL approach for the rest of the season and see where we end up.
Toy boy Archibald finally tasted defeat with his Euro Cup 2008 soccer football picks. Croatia has qualified from Group B for the ¼ finals and only one of his picks – Germany or Poland – has a chance to qualify and there’s even a slim chance that both will be heading for home after the final group matches.
Wednesday, June 11, 2008
NBA Final Game 4 Pick
Lady G stands for Lady Green sticking with Boston +7.5 over LA.
I was chuffed to win on points in game 3 with +9.5. It may just be our poor Canadian coverage of hoops, but our national newspaper posted the initial line for game 3 as LA -6.5. When I saw the spread at 9.5, I didn't have the heart to back Kobe giving that many points. He may not be very likable, but even I have to admit that Kobe carried the Lakers last night.
Taking Boston +7.5, I'm definitely letting heart rule head -- a mistake I swore I would never repeat after previous toy boy Reginald. But, at least in this case the stakes aren't as great playing a non-profit pool with pocket money on the line compared to the significant financial and emotional losses I suffered untangling myself from that no-good Reginald.
My results so far against the spread:
All my picks 44 wins 37 losses 2 ties (54%)
My overdog picks 42-32-2
My underdog picks 2-5
Spread a factor: 2-9-2
A plain-vanilla, "homer rules" strategy leads the way at 48-33-2 (59%) followed closely by all-overdogs at 47-34-2 (58%).
Current toy boy Archibald remains unbeaten with his Euro Cup 2008 soccer football picks -- 16 points so far in his non-profit office pool with each player choosing 8 countries and earning 3 points for a win, 1 point for a draw and points + or - for net goal difference.
I was chuffed to win on points in game 3 with +9.5. It may just be our poor Canadian coverage of hoops, but our national newspaper posted the initial line for game 3 as LA -6.5. When I saw the spread at 9.5, I didn't have the heart to back Kobe giving that many points. He may not be very likable, but even I have to admit that Kobe carried the Lakers last night.
Taking Boston +7.5, I'm definitely letting heart rule head -- a mistake I swore I would never repeat after previous toy boy Reginald. But, at least in this case the stakes aren't as great playing a non-profit pool with pocket money on the line compared to the significant financial and emotional losses I suffered untangling myself from that no-good Reginald.
My results so far against the spread:
All my picks 44 wins 37 losses 2 ties (54%)
My overdog picks 42-32-2
My underdog picks 2-5
Spread a factor: 2-9-2
A plain-vanilla, "homer rules" strategy leads the way at 48-33-2 (59%) followed closely by all-overdogs at 47-34-2 (58%).
Current toy boy Archibald remains unbeaten with his Euro Cup 2008 soccer football picks -- 16 points so far in his non-profit office pool with each player choosing 8 countries and earning 3 points for a win, 1 point for a draw and points + or - for net goal difference.
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