Thursday, April 25, 2024

Nate Silver is the Bill James of political analysts

 "Just as James did for baseball, Silver taught us how to look at presidential campaigns analytically."

from

https://economystupid.substack.com/

No surprise. Nate Silver wrote for and owned a share of Baseball Prospectus before he turned his talents to analyzing elections.

https://www.baseballprospectus.com/  

Wednesday, April 3, 2024

MLB Inter-league 2024

National League (NL) teams are besting their American League (AL) rivals 46 wins to 41 (53%-47%) in the 2024 chapter of Major League Baseball's (MLB's) inter-league rivalry. 

AL East teams are 17-10 (63%) against NL squads so far in 2024, even better than their recent past record of dominating NL opponents. AL East teams won 56.6% of inter-league games from 2020 through 2023

The AL has won 16 of the last 20 inter-league seasons (with All-Star and World Series matches included in the counts). After 14 consecutive AL triumphs from 2004 through 2017, the NL won the inter-league contest for 3 consecutive years from 2018 through 2020 and won again last year in 2023

The "brain gap" between AL and NL team managements shrunk over the years. It now appears to have disappeared completely thanks to the brain drain of smarty-pants and smarty-skirt executives who started with AL squads before crossing over to manage NL teams. 

The AL has also won 9 of the past 10 all-star contests, 21 of the last 25 to reach a decision and 27 of 34. 

None of this information is useful for betting purposes. Gambling odds are almost never fair for gamblers. 

Sunday, January 14, 2024

Bye, Bye Belicheat

Belicheat was Don Shula's affectionate nickname for former New England Patriots’ Coach Bill Belichick, who was fired 15 wins short of Shula’s National Football League (NFL) record for career regular season wins. Of course, if we include playoff victories, Belicheat is much closer to Shula.