Friday, May 20, 2011

Major League Baseball 2011 Recap

Modified 1 November
American League (AL) teams won 134 of 260 interleague games in 2011 or 51.5%.

2011 is the 8th year running starting with 2004 that AL teams have won more interleague games than their National League (NL) rivals.

But, the NL has now taken 3 of the last 4 World Series contests and 6 of the last 11 as well as the All-Star game for 2 consecutive years. The NL's overall winning % of 48.5% in all 2011 inter-league games is the NL's best performance since 48.8% in 2004. Is the worm turning slowly away from this long period of AL dominance?

Monday, May 16, 2011

NBA 2011 Play-offs Recap

Modified 14 June 2011
Against the spread (ATS) I ended up 36-40-5 or 47.5% ATS in the 2011 playoffs.

Overdog favourites won 53 of 81 games straight-up -- a touch below my expectation that overdogs win about 2 out of every 3 contests over a large sample of 1,000 games. But, 18 of 81 games turned on points -- a touch above the long-run average trend of about 1 in 5 games decided by the point spread. As a result, my all-overdog approach (except for the final game) did not pay off this year for participants in friendly, non-profit NBA playoff pools based on picking winners ATS.

I should say that over the past 4 NBA playoff years starting with 2008 I am 53.7% ATS.