Monday, April 19, 2010

NBA Finals Game 7

I finished the 2010 playoffs 51-31 or 62.2% to the good against the point spread with a simple all-overdog strategy.

For the past 3 years, I have followed what I call my Gibbs-Gipp system:
http://economics.stanford.edu/files/Theses/Theses_2007/Gibbs2007.pdf

and have called 55.7% of all playoff games correctly against the point spread.

And, over three years of picking NCAA March madness matches, I won 53.9% against the spread.

The statistically significant part of the Gibbs-Gipp system – backing all "heavy" underdogs receiving 12.5 or more points – came through with 61.8% winners over the 2009/10 NBA regular season after delivering a 54.7% success rate against the points in 2008/9.

My complete NBA record for the 2009/10 regular season + playoffs was 62% -- not too shabby if I do say so myself.

Official Godiva toy boy and fiance Archibald is still in mourning after the 1st ever Game 7 finals loss by his beloved Celtics – and to the hated LAkers to boot. When I mentioned that he seemed inconsolable, he begged to differ and got down on his knees to beg yours truly for the sweet consolation that only Lady G can provide.

World Cup Soccer Football

Archibald insists that I pass along his prediction that the Netherlands will win the World Cup. He's even more confident after their 1st 2 victories. (Get your own sports blog, Arch, and stop mooching off mine.)

As for me, you can take Lady Godiva out of Coventry, but you can't take my heart away from backing England. Too bad we can never find a good keeper or reliable scorer. (Until I met dear Archibald, I felt the same way about men.)

(Amended 21 June 2010)