In my Canadian toy boy and fiance-in-perpetuity Archibald's non-profit Canadian Football League (CFL) pool against the spread (ATS) for the Grey Cup final, I correctly picked winterpeg +3 over HAMMERTOWN ATS.
The west has won 5 of the last 7 Grey Cups and 10 of the past 15. Western teams were 24-16 straight-up, but only 19-21 ATS vs. eastern teams in 2019.
Arch points out that western teams are 200-114-2 straight-up against eastern teams from 2012 through 2019 and 166-146-4 ATS including Grey Cups and other playoff matches.
I finished 43-41-2 in Arch's 2019 ATS pool: 20-15-2 road underdogs, 10-10 home overdogs, 8-9 home underdogs and 5-7 road overdogs.
I am 52.3% over 11 years picking CFL winners ATS 2009 to 2019. I have had only 3 losing CFL years ATS out of 11. However, I am trailing behind a simple all-underdogs strategy at 53.1% over 2009-2019. 2014 was the only year during this period when CFL underdogs had a losing year ATS.
Tuesday, June 11, 2019
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