Monday, May 16, 2011

NBA 2011 Play-offs Recap

Modified 14 June 2011
Against the spread (ATS) I ended up 36-40-5 or 47.5% ATS in the 2011 playoffs.

Overdog favourites won 53 of 81 games straight-up -- a touch below my expectation that overdogs win about 2 out of every 3 contests over a large sample of 1,000 games. But, 18 of 81 games turned on points -- a touch above the long-run average trend of about 1 in 5 games decided by the point spread. As a result, my all-overdog approach (except for the final game) did not pay off this year for participants in friendly, non-profit NBA playoff pools based on picking winners ATS.

I should say that over the past 4 NBA playoff years starting with 2008 I am 53.7% ATS.

1 comment:

nfl football pick said...

I like the information which you have added here. Thanks for sharing this info.