Wednesday, September 14, 2011

NFL 2011-2 Recap

Updated 7 February 2012

For those of you playing in season-long pools picking winners against point spreads, I recommended mostly underdogs again this year. I finished 128-128-11 for the entire season, 124-121-11 for the regular season followed by 4-7 in the playoffs.

I was less than rapt to go an abysmal 7-14-1 with my efforts to identify "value overdogs" leaving me trailing a plain-vanilla all-underdog strategy leading the way at 135-121-11 or 52.6% -- a touch above the long-term average for all-underdogs over the past 20 years. Underdogs have finished over 50% in 7 of the past 10 years and 16 of the past 20.

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