Wednesday, June 27, 2012

Canadian Football League CFL 2012 Recap

Correctly picking Grey Cup winner TORONTO +2 over Calgary lifted my record to 43-33-1 against the spread (ATS) for the year or 56.49%.

I can't claim to be the CFL Nostradamus. 77 matches in one year is far too few to be statistically significant. But, I was chuffed to finish ahead of simple all-homer and all-underdog strategies both at 42-34-1. I ended the year 12-2 with home underdogs, 8-9 with home overdogs, 20-21-1 with road underdogs and 3-1 with road overdogs.

Official Godiva toy boy and fiance Archibald failed with his bold predictions that Edmonton would win the eastern playoffs and that the western representative was a near-certainty to win the Grey Cup. Archibald still believes that Calgary would defeat Toronto 6 out of 10 times even in Toronto. Western teams were 17-17 ATS and 20-14 straight-up against eastern teams in 2012. (Start your own blog, Archibald, you handsome but lazy devil.)

I was 57.8% to the good ATS in 2011 and am 55.8% over 4 full years picking CFL winners ATS from 2009 to 2012 -- not enough matches to be statistically significant yet, but nevertheless I am proud of my good fortune so far.

Calgary's mishandling of QB Drew Tate's concussion in the western semi-final really offended me. I pray that he does not suffer permanent damage to this health.

Congratulations to Montreal Coach Marc Trestman for returning to the National Football Leagues as Chicago Bear head coach. He and the Bears will do well.