Saturday, October 29, 2016

NBA 2016-17 Heavy Underdogs and Play-offs ATS Recap

Based on an undergraduate Stanford University paper that I found online, I take all heavy underdogs against the spread (ATS) in Archibald's National Basketball Association (NBA) pool. In the 2016-17 regular season, heavy underdogs finished 40-58-1 ATS or 40.5%.

Archibald's ATS pool continued throughout the play-offs. I picked overdog favourites except "heavy" underdogs with more than 12 points and 1 "light" home underdogs when I deviated from my system because I couldn't resist the game 4 finals spread which seemed wrong. After picking GS -9 over cleveland igame 5 of the finals, I finished 47-29-3 ATS in the play-offs or 61% = 41-27-3 light overdogs, 5-2 heavy underdogs and 1-0 light underdog. 

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