Thursday, June 5, 2025

CFL Picks ATS 2025 Week 4

I am taking all underdogs.

I am 7-5 against the spread (ATS) after 3 weeks = 2-0 home overdogs, 1-0 road overdogs, 2-3 home underdogs, 2-2 road underdogs. 

Godiva toy boy and fiance-in-perpetuity Archibald points out that western teams are now 268-181-4 or almost 60% straight-up against eastern teams from 2012 through 2025 including Grey Cups and other playoff games. The west is 4-0 straight-up and ATS this year. But, in 2024 east bested west 23-16-2 after winning in 2023 as well

I am starting to accept that the years of western dominance are over, but am sticking with a western tilt for now. The east has now won the past 3 Grey Cups after the west won 6 of the previous 8 and 11 of the previous 15. I am proud, albeit insignificantly statistically proud, to be 10-5 ATS picking the past 15 Grey Cups, although I admit to losing the past 3. 

I am 51% over 15 years picking Canadian Football League (CFL) winners ATS from 2009 on. (Recall that the  CFL cancelled their 2020 season, so there have been only 15 seasons from 2009 through 2024.) I have had 5 losing CFL years out of 15. I do not do well enough to make a profit betting CFL games with real money, but every now and then my picks should be good enough to win a small, just-for-fun CFL season-long pool. I trail behind a simple all-underdogs strategy at 52% from 2009-2024. 2023 was the first year since 2014 for CFL underdogs to record a losing year ATS2023 was my worst year ever by far and my 2nd consecutive losing year. 

Arch is too busy with his new hobby to maintain his CFL ATS pool, so my picks this year are just for fun. 

Sorry to say that I have been so caught up helping Godiva toy boy and permanent fiance Arch with his substacking that I still haven't had time to update my CFL picking record for the entire 2024 season. In the 2024 play-offs, I finished 1-4 = 1-1 home overdogs and 0-2 road underdogs and 0-1 Grey Cup.

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