Thursday, November 6, 2008

NFL Week 10 Picks

Pick

+/-

Against

Denver

+3

CLEVELAND

DETROIT

+6.5

Jacksonville

CHICAGO

+3

Tennessee

NEW E

-3.5

Buffalo

New O

+1

Atlanta

St. Louis

+8

NY JETS

Seattle

+8.5

MIAMI

G Bay

+2.5

MINNIE

Carolina

-9

OAKLAND

K City

+15

SAN DIEGO

Indy

+3.5

PITTSBURGH

NY Giants

+3

PHILLY

HOUSTON

+1

Baltimore

ARIZONA

-9.5

San Fran

Week 9 results:

Picks

Wins

Losses

All

8

6

Home Faves

1

2

Home Dogs

2

3

Road Dogs

5

1

Best Bets

3

Readers' Choice

NY G -9

Season so far:

Picks

Wins

Losses

Tie

%

All

59

67

4

47%

Home Faves

15

19

1

44%

Home Dogs

17

19

1

47%

Road Dogs

26

28

2

48%

Road Faves

1

1

50%

Best Bets

14

13

2

52%

Readers' Choice

3

5

1

39%

NFL Comments

If I had backed all underdogs (or all overdogs) all year long, I'd be sitting right at 50%, instead of -8. My "value overdog" picks have been dismal this year and last. Nevertheless, I'm sticking to my system and picking 3 more value overdogs this week hoping to turn the tide over the last half of the year.

My sympathies to the Raider Nation. Official Godiva toy boy Archibald's father is losing his marbles, so I know how painful it must be for Raider fans to live through owner Al Davis' King Lear years.

NFL Playoff Team Predictions

With the first half in the books, here are my predictions for who will be in the January playoffs:

AFC

Top 2 seeds

Tennessee Pittsburgh

Other division winners

NY Jets San Diego

Wild cards

New England Baltimore

NFC

Top 2 seeds

NY Giants Arizona

Other divisional winners

Chicago Carolina

Wild cards

Philadelphia Tampa Bay

NBA Underdogs

1 win and 2 losses so far for underdogs of 12.5 points or more.

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