Week 15 NFL Picks:
Dr. Ronnie (aka Lady Godiva) recommends going with all underdogs this week.
Week 14 NFL results:
Picks | Wins | Losses | |
All | 9 | 7 | |
Home Dogs | 3 | ||
Road Dogs | 3 | 6 | |
Road Faves | 3 | 1 | |
Best Bets | 2 | 1 | |
Readers' Choice | Miami +1.5 | ||
Season so far:
Picks | Wins | Losses | Tie | % |
All | 99 | 105 | 4 | 49% |
Home Faves | 21 | 24 | 1 | 47% |
Home Dogs | 24 | 33 | 1 | 42% |
Road Dogs | 52 | 47 | 2 | 52% |
Road Faves | 2 | 1 | 67% | |
Best Bets | 22 | 19 | 2 | 53% |
Readers' Choice | 6 | 7 | 1 | 46% |
Week 14 NFL Comments:
6-6 against the point spread last week with my base package of underdog picks and 3-1 with my "value" overdogs leaving me still -6 with just 3 weeks to get back to 50% for the year.
NBA Underdogs
12 wins, 10 losses and 1 tie for a 54% winning percentage against the spread so far for underdogs of 12.5 points or more. According to Stanford undergrad whiz kid Gibbs (see 1 November post), we can expect to see heavy NBA underdogs finish above 50% by a statistically significant margin over a long period of at least one full season. I will keep track this year on behalf of players in non-profit NBA pools.
NFL Reading
Official Godiva toy boy Archibald recommends the following articles for NFL fans:
http://www.thestar.com/printArticle/548657
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2008/12/15/081215fa_fact_gladwell
Archibald also warns that famous author Malcolm Gladwell is wrong when he says that it is not possible to predict which college quarterbacks will succeed in the NFL. Stathead David Lewin summarizes his analysis in:
1 comment:
GO MINNIE!!! Great blog! Check out mine sometime ;-)
http://nfl-merchandise.blogspot.com/
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