Thursday, November 15, 2007

NFL Week 10 Results

All my picks 5 wins 8 losses 1 tie
My home overdogs 0-3
My home underdogs 0-1-1
My road underdogs 4-3
My road overdogs 1-1
Spread a factor 0-1-1
Lady G’s best bets 1-3
Readers’ choice (Detroit +1 over ARIZONA) 0-1

For the season so far:

All my picks 69-67-8 51%
My home overdogs 18-21-2 46%
My home underdogs 15-12-1 55%
My road underdogs 25-24-4 51%
My road overdogs 11-10-1 52%
Spread a factor 11-10-8 52%
Lady G’s best bets 13-24-2 36%
Readers’ choice 2-6-2 30

5-8-1 in a week when my base package of all-underdogs went 8-5-1. Ouch!

I was +9 after 3 weeks and have gone -7 over the past 7 weeks. Double ouch!!

Three bad weeks so far with only 5 wins and only one really good week with 10 wins. Triple ouch!!!

Two wins behind a plain-vanilla, all-underdogs strategy.

But, playing a football pool is very similar to playing the stock market. You have to expect bad stretches over short periods. The worst thing to do is to lose heart after a string of losses and abandon your approach before the long-term wave picks you back up.

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